Even India’s test level for Covid-19 has increased from a few thousand to about two lakhs a day, interestingly, the death rate has also come down. This trend is also true at the level of individual cities. It appears that as the test level increases and more Covid-19 cases are detected, two things happen. One, people are transferred to corona-care centers or hospitals and as soon as they receive the appropriate level of care – including oxygen support – fatalities fall. Second, as people test positive, they immediately quarantine; In the absence of testing, these people may have infected others
Between 17 June and 9 July, India’s daily growth rose by 60%, while the death rate fell from 3.4% to 2.7% on 17 July. The same is true for Delhi; While the test increased 2.8-fold, the mortality rate dropped from 4.1% to 3%. For Madhya Pradesh, the test improved 1.8 times and the mortality rate decreased from 4.3% to 3.9%.
In the case of Mumbai, the death rate rose from 5.3% on June 17 to 5.8% on July 9, probably because the city’s test levels have remained stable in the 4,000-5,000 range for some time.
As with the number of infections, two-thirds of India’s deaths have also occurred in the past month. An interesting data point here is that more testing cities result in fewer deaths. Delhi tests four times more than Mumbai and has a mortality rate of 3% vs. Mumbai’s 5.8%.