Factory output shrinks 1.9% in November, retail inflation for December eases to 4.59%

After rising two consecutive months, manufacturing facility output faltered once more, slipping into the adverse in November due to contraction in manufacturing manufacturing and mining output, knowledge launched Tuesday by the National Statistical Office (NSO) confirmed.

Retail inflation for December, knowledge for which was additionally launched, supplied some reduction to policymakers, with worth ranges easing to a 15-month low of 4.59 per cent on account of a dip in meals inflation. With this, the headline inflation rate has slipped again into the Reserve Bank of India’s goal band of 2-6 per cent for the primary time in 9 months.

The Index of Industrial Production (IIP) contracted 1.9 per cent in November after having recorded a progress of 0.5 per cent in September and three.6 per cent in October. IIP progress for October has now been revised to 4.2 per cent.

Factory output had grown by 2.1 per cent in November 2019. Cumulatively, manufacturing facility output for April-October final 12 months has contracted by 15.5 per cent, as towards 0.3 per cent progress in the identical interval in 2019.

Among the sectors, manufacturing output — with a weight of 77.6 per cent in the IIP — contracted 1.7 per cent year-on-year in November after rising 4.1 per cent in the earlier month. Mining output contracted 7.4 per cent in November as towards 1.9 per cent progress the earlier 12 months. Electricity era was the one sector in the optimistic, recording a progress of three.5 per cent throughout November.

The use-based classification confirmed that 5 of the six sectors recorded a contraction in their output in November, with solely infrastructure items posting a progress of 0.7 per cent throughout the month.

Capital items output, which is an indicator for funding demand in the financial system, slipped again into the crimson, declining by 7.1 per cent in November in contrast to a 3.5 per cent progress in the earlier month and eight.9 per cent contraction in the identical month a 12 months in the past.

Both client durables and client non-durables too contracted in November, signalling weakening demand.

The December inflation knowledge confirmed that retail meals costs, which make up practically half of the buyer worth index (CPI( inflation basket, recorded a progress of three.41 per cent in the month from a 12 months earlier, towards 9.43 per cent in November.

Vegetable costs fell 10.41 per cent from a 12 months in the past in December, whereas cereals had been up solely 0.98 per cent, the information confirmed. Core inflation — which excludes meals and gas prices — was estimated at round 5.70 per cent for the month.

The financial system is projected to contract a file 7.7 per cent in 2020-21, a primary in over 4 a long time, with the NSO assuming a 0.6 per cent progress in the second half (October-March) of the present fiscal.


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